The NBA landscape was altered fairly drastically this offseason when several high-calibur players and two legitimate superstars defected from the Western Conference and landed on Eastern Conference teams. It's hard to characterize the overall effect this player movement has had on the balance of power in the NBA as arguably the three best teams - San Antonio, Phoenix and Dallas - still reside out west and I would even venture to say that Houston and Utah are better than any team the east has to offer.
When evaluating the Eastern Conference, it is important to look at three things:
1) The number of east teams that improved this offseason - The additions of Jason Richardson to the Bobcats and Rashard Lewis to the Magic bolster the starting lineups of two up and coming teams with young cores. The arrivals of Ray Allen and Kevin Garnett have Boston looking like a title contender and perhaps the class of the east while Zach Randolph gives the Knicks an excellent chance of getting into the playoffs.
2) The eastern teams kept their core players and rosters intact - The Nets resigned Vince Carter, keeping Kidd, RJ and Carter together while Detroit resigned Chauncey Billups, bringing back their unquestioned floor general. In addition, emerging teams like Chicago and Toronto addressed small needs and come back with the same cast of young players, now with added game experience. Another under-the-radar move was Mo Williams resigning with the Bucks. At 25, I am almost positive that he isn't the next Mike James and could develop into one of the better scoring point guards in the NBA. But again, this is the NBA and we are dealing with the world of guaranteed money here. If Williams came into camp weighing 285 lbs. and missing two fingers on his shooting hand I wouldn't be surprised.
3) The players returning from injury - Tanking was occuring at an unprecedented clip last season with players dropping left and right for a variety of reasons ranging from the ever-popular "stress fracture" to a hang nail. This is why my fantasy basketball roster consisted of Mardy Collins, everyone's favorite sex offender Ruben Patterson and the pride of USC (South Carolina of course!) Terrence Kinsey in the final weeks. With tanking not set to being again until March, players like Michael Redd and Andrew Bogut are now healthy again for the Bucks and the Hawks return Josh Smith and Joe Johnson. Speaking of the the Hawks, they have looked surprisingly good this preseason with Acie Law IV running the show.
The result is the east being a wide open conference in which every team has at least an outside chance to make the playoffs (yes even Atlanta and Philly). While Boston and Chicago are considered the early season favorites, there are multiple candidates for seeds 3 through 8 come playoff time.
The outlook in the west is much clearer with the five teams I mentioned before - San Antonio, Phoenix, Dallas, Houston and Utah - being locks for the playoffs and legitimate title contenders. Denver and Golden State should also make the playoffs and could push the elite teams a bit. The only slight intrigue comes in the form of the 8 seed which should go to the Lakers given a happy Kobe but may be taken by the upstart Hornets pending everyone stays healthy (especially CP3 and Tyson Chandler).
Beyond the playoff contenders, the West features a cast of rebuilding teams that have poor rosters and little hope. The NBA's two worst teams reside in Minnesota and Seattle with Sacramento, Memphis and a beat-up Portland team not far behind. The Clippers without Elton Brand and Shaun Livingston are also looking at a long season. This discrepancy between the top and bottom teams makes the west terribly top heavy and uninteresting until playoff time.
So now without further delay, from the man who prognosticated Dallas' demise in the first round of this year's playoffs, here are my predictions for the 2007-08 NBA season:
Eastern Conference
Atlantic Division
1. Boston
2. Toronto
3. New York
4. New Jersey
5. Philadelphia
Central
1. Chicago
2. Detroit
3. Cleveland
4. Milwaukee
5. Indiana
Southeast
1. Orlando
2. Miami
3. Charlotte
4. Washington
5. Atlanta
Playoffs
1. Boston
2. Chicago
3. Orlando
4. Detroit
5. Toronto
6. Miami
7. Cleveland
8. New York
Eastern Conference Finals - Boston over Chicago in 6 games
Western Conference
Northwest
1. Utah
2. Denver
3. Portland
4. Seattle
5. Minnesota
Pacific
1. Phoenix
2. Golden State
3. LA Lakers
4. LA Clippers
5. Sacramento
Southwest
1. San Antonio
2. Dallas
3. Houston
4. New Orleans
5. Memphis
Playoffs
1. San Antonio
2. Phoenix
3. Utah
4. Dallas
5. Houston
6. Denver
7. Golden State
8. New Orleans
Western Conference Finals - San Antonio over Phoenix in 7
NBA Finals - San Antonio over Boston in 5
For further analysis, check out our friends at Garbage Points who have spent an inordinate amount of time preparing detailed previews for each NBA team.
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